Last Friday a good friend called me. His father was in hospital and after a brief optimistic period things had taken a turn for the worse. His lungs were filling with fluid, the medical staff thought he had likely had a small heart attack the night before and it looked like his kidney’s were failing. We prepared for the worst. Last night I went over to my friend’s house to see him for the first time he had made it home in five days. His Dad was miracle of miracle’s doing well, or as well as someone who five days prior not being expected to live can hope to do. In fact the doctor’s are now talking about when he can be discharged. That said, he is never going to enjoy what most of us consider good health again. His heart is in terrible shape, his kidney’s barely work, he has diabetes and possibly cancer. What a roller coaster ride.
So, my friend and I got to talking last night and at one point he said, “You know, he just does not get it, if he had read the warning signs 10 -15 years ago (heart attack, bad cholesterol, eventual bypass), he would not even be in hospital right now. The frustrating part is he is going to go home and get right back on his high salt, high fat diet (his wife apparently uses a bottle of olive oil per week in her cooking, which I must attest is wonderfully tasty), and he is going to land right back in hospital again.
So, what does this have to do with anything green? Well today I was reading that a newly released study indicates that
Global Warming might be on hold! Kyle Swanson and team who are scientist’s at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and NOAA are now predicting a potential slowing or even slight reversal of the warming trends we have being told exist.
“It is possible that a fraction of the most recent rapid warming since the 1970’s was due to a free variation in climate,” Isaac Held of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Princeton, New Jersey wrote in an email to Discovery News. “Suggesting that the warming might possibly slow down or even stagnate for a few years before rapid warming commences again.”
Swanson apparently thinks the trend could last for up to 30 years.
So, does anyone truly know what is going on? NO, a lot of smart folks think they do, some may be right, no one knows for sure! That said, let’s suppose, just as with my friend’s father, that we acknowledge, that no matter the long term trend, we have being given a clear warning that “something” bad could happen, and probably will if we keep doing the global equivalent of the high salt, high fat diet. Ten years ago my friend father had his first bypass, felt fine afterwards, possibly even better than he had for years and went right back to bad diet, bad life choices and the fate which he now faces.
Okay, so back to the climate change issue where Swanson, for one, apparently thinks that the “on hold” trend is a hiccup, and when the warming trend comes back (
did it ever disappear except in the realm of statistical analysis), it will be with a vengeance and be much more aggressive than what we have seen recently predicted. We would be talking the global equivalent of multiple organ failure in very short order if he is right.
Well, maybe Swanson and team are right, maybe not, but one thing is clear, we have a lot more options open to us if we act smart, make wise long term decisions now and keep trying to understand what is going on. Sticking our heads in the sand is not going to help solve anything. IF global warming is really being caused by man’s activities, or even if it’s a fully natural cycle which we are making worse, then it makes sense to do everything we can reasonably do to reduce our impact and keep improving our knowledge on how we might affect positive change.
IF as some claim, solar activity and long term natural cycles are taking us into a period of global cooling, we certainly do not hurt ourselves by using valuable resources like oil and coal wisely now and having the option of being able to use them ( to keep warm, or what ever else we choose) as needed when the planet cools. The fact of the matter is that just like my friends father, heeding the warning signs and adopting a sensible, sustainable, healthy lifestyle individually, as societies and as a species makes sense!
What matter’s is that we can not and should not be so stupid as to pollute and waste and generally act as spoiled greedy children (and I am talking both at the level of individuals consuming gluttonous amounts of resources and at the larger level as a species). Maybe global warming is going to disappear for 30 years! Maybe the solar out put is peaking and we will enter a natural cooling cycle.
My key message here is, do the right thing which is simply don’t waste resources! Don’t waste petro chemicals (oil, plastics, fertilizers etc.), don’t waste water, don’t waste soil , clean air, or anything else we need. Don’t worship ignorance! Don’t expect real understanding or real solutions to be easy or fast. Above all, don’t let politician’s and business leaders off the hook for one instant. It does not matter if we are heating the world, or cooling the world or having no meaningful impact at all! We can and we must be greener, clearer and leaner! We can live better, leave more for future generations and possibly save the world if we do so.
Most good (and I suppose bad too) suspense thrillers or horror movies have that part where the monster/bad guy is supposed to be dead or vanquished.
Typically that is the part where the good guys lower their guard, turn their back and get down right stupid, and then wham, he’s back and mayhem erupts. Lots of fun at the movie’s but can we afford to do that with our planet!